The Need for Caution: While Singapore's household debt situation is generally healthy, it is essential to recognize that a small segment of highly-leveraged households may face increased constraints with rising interest rates. Therefore, it is crucial for all borrowers to approach home purchases with careful consideration to avoid potential financial strain in the future.
Manageable Mortgage Servicing Ratio: According to the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) stress tests, the median household mortgage servicing ratio is expected to remain manageable even under scenarios of significantly higher interest rates or lower incomes. This indicates that most households should still be able to service their mortgages as domestic interest rates align with global rates.
Prudent Borrowing and Debt Management: Mr. Tan highlights the importance of prudence in borrowing, particularly as interest rates are expected to rise in the coming years. Singaporean households have generally demonstrated the ability to service and manage their debts effectively. Measures such as the Total Debt Servicing Ratio (TDSR) have been implemented to ensure borrowers' monthly loan repayments for property mortgages do not exceed 55% of their monthly income. The credit profile of mortgages remains healthy, with delinquent mortgages at less than 1%.
Financial Resilience Measures: The MAS has implemented various measures to ensure households are financially resilient. For instance, the interest rate used to calculate loan repayment for residential property under the TDSR is set higher than prevailing interest rates, providing a buffer for borrowers to service their mortgages across an interest rate cycle. Loan-to-value limits and restrictions on loan tenure also encourage greater financial prudence among borrowers.
Business Outlook and Economic Recovery: Mr. Tan also acknowledges the impact of rising interest rates on businesses, particularly highly-leveraged companies with low profit margins. However, the broader economic recovery is expected to provide some reprieve as Singapore opens up and emerges from the pandemic.
Conclusion: As interest rates continue to rise, it is crucial for prospective homeowners to exercise financial prudence when purchasing a property. By carefully considering the potential impact of rising interest rates and ensuring manageable mortgage servicing ratios, individuals can navigate these challenges and safeguard their financial well-being. Consulting with financial advisors and staying informed about the latest developments in the housing market will enable borrowers to make informed decisions and secure a stable future amidst changing interest rate environments.
