This blog is about financial freedom and serves to inform, educate and entertain the public on all personal finance matters. The author of this blog has been blogging for 5 over years. He was also a guest blogger at CPF's IMSavvy site (now AreYouReady site). This blog is visited by many unique readers from various countries every month. Do bookmark this blog and leave your comments.
How to Become a Millionaire by 30
Beat Inflation with Smart Investment Strategies
Principles of Value Investing
Fundamental Analysis: Value investors focus on analyzing a company's financial and business fundamentals such as earnings, revenue, assets, and liabilities to determine its true value. They look for companies that are undervalued by the market and have strong growth prospects.
Long-term Investment Horizon: Value investors take a long-term view and are willing to hold onto their investments for extended periods. They believe that over time, the market will recognize a company's true value and the stock price will increase.
Margin of Safety: Value investors seek to invest in companies that are undervalued and have a margin of safety. This means that they invest in companies that are trading at a significant discount to their intrinsic value, providing a buffer against potential market fluctuations.
Patience: Value investors are patient and disciplined, they don't make decisions based on short-term market fluctuations, they focus on the underlying value of the company.
Diversification: Value investors believe in diversifying their portfolios by investing in a variety of companies across different industries and sectors. This helps to spread out risk and increase the chances of achieving long-term success.
Avoiding Overvalued Companies: Value investors avoid companies that are overvalued by the market and have poor fundamentals. They believe that these companies are more likely to experience a decline in stock price in the long term.
Active Management: Value investors actively manage their portfolios and are willing to sell their investments if they no longer believe that the company is undervalued or if the company's fundamentals have deteriorated.
Contrarian approach: Value investors often take a contrarian approach to investing, meaning they invest in companies that are out of favor with the market and not popular among investors. They believe that these companies are more likely to be undervalued and have greater potential for growth.
Focus on Cash flow and Earnings: Value investors focus on a company's ability to generate cash flow and earnings, they look for companies that generate consistent profits and have strong balance sheets.
Simple secrets to building wealth
Firstly, without income, it is very difficult to become wealthy. The only instances one does not require income is probably if you have a large inheritance or you are starting a business (when you have the intention of selling it). At the end of the day, one cannot accumulate assets if one does not have income.
Secondly, one will need to invest.This can be in any instrument. But the idea is that you are only able to invest if you have money left over from your income after taking into account all your expenditure. In most instances, one is able to invest only when spare cash is available.
Lastly, it boils down to persistence. spending money today always seems more tempting and rewarding then saving it for a rainy day. This is especially so when instant gratification seems to be a large part of our culture today. We rather be seen with a Starbucks coffee in hand rather than saving that money and investing it. This is an everyday battle where our heart will tell us to spend when we really ought to be saving. In addition, one also needs persistence to continue saving and investing even when the markets are bad. This is probably very hard since we are all probably wired to try to avoid risk and danger. But the best time to buy is probably when the market is in its doldrums.
Is the bull market coming to an end?
Some points I consider:
- Unemployment rate in US has improved but is still worrying in Europe.
- Federal Reserve stopping QE but ECB and BoJ are maintaining low interest rates.
- China growth story seems intact.
- Stock market still trading around historical P/E ratios.
- Oil prices are low which ought to be good for businesses, no?
- Investors' interest in stock market and their sentiments.
- Low gold prices indicates fear of inflation or hyperinflation is probably low.
- "THIS TIME IT IS DIFFERENT" syndrome has not appeared.
Reasons to Buy Gold or Silver
So in this posting, I will throw up some of the reasons to continue buying gold or silver.
Firstly, the world's central banks are now net buyers of gold, purchasing gold like never seen before. According to the World Gold Council, central banks accounted for 12% of total demand for gold in 2012. The demand for silver also seems to be rising and the supply does not seem to be able to keep up (at least that is what the silver bugs' charts are telling us).
Secondly, with all the money printing by the Feds, inflation is almost certain. Gold and silver are thus a good hedge against inflation since many view them as the true store of value. Many of these proponents are also predicting that the dollar will soon crash and that somehow, someday, the entire world will go back to the gold standard.
Thirdly, while the prices of gold and silver might have corrected a fair bit for this year, the global outlook still looks uncertain. The US debt is reaching alarming levels, Europe crisis, etc. So it is not surprising that people are bullish on these 2 metals since they seem to have a negative correlation to the overall stock market/economy.
In any case, the people who argue for investing in gold or silver are still sticking to their guns that another bull run is in the making. Will they be correct?
The End of the Gold Bull Run?
Gold had hit an all-time high in Sept 2011 of slightly over $1920/oz. Today, gold spot price is at $1597/oz.
Sold Off Nam Cheong
Sold Off Citigroup
At first glance, it would seem that I should have made quite a tidy profit on Citigroup. But after examining it closer, the profits that I made were really peanuts. And this is largely due to the exchange rates.
Basically, I bought Citigroup when the USD (US dollar) to SGD (Singapore dollar) was around 1:1.4. The US dollar has however weakened significantly over the course of the years. So based on the exchange rate today, my profits were almost wiped out. You can take a look at the chart below to see how the USD has weakened significantly against the Singapore dollar.
Straits Times Index (STI) hits 5 Year High
Well, nobody really knows the answer for sure. But with the US debt ceiling, Euro crisis and all other things that can happen along the way, one should continue to remain nimble.
A good question to ask yourself is this: How much more gains can you make in this bull run?
Sold Thakral and Saizen
These are my entry prices and exit prices for the 3 stocks:
- Saizen (Entry=S$0.173; Exit = S$0.191)
- Thakral Corp (Entry=S$0.03; Exist = S$0.035)
- LMIR (Entry = $0.475; Exit = S$0.525)
If you read my posting about "Bull Market or Prepare for Bear" as well as watched the video on Jeffrey Gundlach's market outlook, you will probably understand my rationale for selling. As they say, "Cash is King".
Saizen REIT - Dividends Declared But What Lies Ahead
Anyway, if you read one of my previous posts, you should know that Saizen is on my watchlist. (Okay, it is actually already in my stock portfolio but I am watching it to see if I should buy more).
Found this good video on Saizen. Any investor who wants to invest in Saizen should watch this video first as it gives a good overview of Saizen and its business and also explains why it probably trades at a discount to its net asset value. Here Mark Laudi interviews Raymond Wong (Executive Director at Saizen REIT). He asks him some tough questions that any investor should be asking.
Let me know what you all think about Saizen REIT..
Thakral Corporation Chart
Outlook for 2013: Recap and Stock Take
Most of the stocks have risen except for CMT, City Developments and UOB.
Closing Price on 31 Dec 2012 | Closing Price on 8 Feb 2013 | |
Biosensors | $1.205 | $1.330 |
CMT | $2.130 | $2.130 |
CMA | $1.940 | $2.100 |
City Developments | $12.870 | $11.460 |
DBS | $14.840 | $14.980 |
Ezion Holdings | $1.690 | $1.805 |
Keppel Corp | $11.000 | $11.530 |
M1 | $2.710 | $2.740 |
SembCorp Marine | $4.600 | $4.670 |
Starhill Global REIT | $0.785 | $0.850 |
UOB | $19.810 | $19.040 |
Venture Corp | $8.060 | $8.480 |
Capitaland | $3.700 | $3.860 |
SIA Engineering Company | $4.390 | $4.740 |
Pan United | $0.775 | $0.975 |
Citigroup Target Price
3 Stocks on My Watchlist
1. Saizen REIT (Listed on Singapore Stock Exchange)
Saizen REIT has been slowly rising. It just declared a healthy half-yearly distribution of 0.66 Singapore cents which makes its yield slightly below 7%. Of course, there is the currency risk of the Japanese Yen being further devalued with the current Government's stance to make their exports more competitive. Nevertheless, I have vested interest in this stock. Saizen last closed at S$0.19.
2. Global Premium Hotels (Listed on Singapore Stock Exchange)
Global Premium Hotels just had its initial public offering at S$0.26. The stock price has been fluctuating below its IPO price for the past few weeks but has recently risen above its IPO price. Certain analysts have a price target of S$0.30 for this stock. They expect the Fragrance hotels to continue to do well given its market share and experience in the business. Of course, billionaire Koh Wee Meng has been buying his own shares too, showing that he is confident in the company. I am not currently vested in this stock.
3. Nam Cheong (Listed on Singapore Stock Exchange)
I have bought into Nam Cheong at 26 Singapore cents. My gut feel is that Nam Cheong is poised to break out. But I could of course be wrong given my very bad sense of market timing. Have taken a small position in this stock and well sell it once the price is right. Nam Cheong's business is doing well. They sold 21 ships in the year 2012 and have just issued equity to continue to expand their business.
Nam Cheong - Poised to Breakout?
From a TA point of view, the stock also looks like it can move higher. Nam Cheong last closed at 25 cents.. Its IPO price was 21 cents.
Nam Cheong has seen its orders rising and prides itself as the leading builder in Malaysia of OSVs.
CFD - Certificate For Death
Pasting the article written by Goh Eng Yeow (with what i think some newbie investor might be thinking about when they read this article in RED):
________________________________________________________________
Investors are making a beeline for an increasingly popular financial derivative product known as Contracts for Difference (CFDs), which enable them to 'own' these blue chips without having to stump up the full price of the stock. Wow. So you mean i can buy shares like DBS. Cool!
Brokerages jostling for a slice of the action include local houses such as Phillip Securities, CIMB-GK Securities and Kim Eng Securities and foreign outfits like IG Markets, Saxo Capital and CMC Markets. Good..think maybe i should open an account with one of these brokerages..
A CFD works like a share margin trading account. When an investor buys a CFD on a blue chip like DBS Group Holdings, he need put up just 10 per cent of the cost of owning the stock. Wah! DBS 13.00 means i only need 1.30. Shiok!!
CFDs are not traded on the SGX. Unlike warrants, for instance, they have no maturity date and an investor can cash out at any time. So good ah? Like that buy shares for what. I going to buy CFD liao
They are popular because investors can immediately track their gains or losses by glancing at the prices of the shares whose CFDs they have bought.
This is unlike covered warrants whose prices are determined by a complicated formula relating to factors like 'time-decay' - the remaining months left in the contract - and market volatility.
#1 - The Greatest Mistake
#2 - Protect What You Cannot Afford to Lose
#3 - Spend Less Than You Earn
#4 - Spend Less Or Earn More
#5 - Buy Assets Not Liabilities
#6 - Read and Learn More
#7 - The Magic of Part Time
#8 - Health Equals Wealth
#9 - It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint
#10 - Congrats! You have Achieved it!
25% Cash Machine
Basically, this book advocates an investing method called double digit income investing to provide a portfolio that gives both income and capital gains of up to 25%. I enjoyed reading the book except for the fact that some of the stocks recommended in the book are already meeting with some financial difficulties due to the global financial crisis.
In it, the portfolio of stocks to build a 25% cash machine portfolio includes stocks like:
Canadian Royalty TrustsBusiness Development Companies
REITs
I really like the idea of creating a portfolio of 25 stocks that will not only give you income from dividends but also capital gains. Some of the stocks in my current portfolio are also purchased for this reason. They are:
1. ST Engineering
2. First REIT
3. Ascott REIT
4. Suntec REIT
5. PenWest Energy Trust (a Canadian Royalty Trust) - provides me with a monthly distribution.
Hope to find another 20 quality stocks to build my own 25% cash machine portfolio. Perhaps I should call it the Financial Freedom Portfolio =)
See Related Articles:
1. 3 Key Lessons from Rich Dad Poor Dad
2. David Bach - Automatic Millionaire
3. Donald Trump
4. Financial Freedom (Goal 2022)
5. Determine Your Financial Freedom Number
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